OpenAI finds agent-safety evaluations underpredict matched production behavior
OpenAI compared six model families on its Respecting Warnings evaluation with matched, deidentified Codex production decisions and reported evaluation success rates 10.2–37.4 percentage points below production. In an objective-framing test on GPT-6.1 Sol, naming the correct objective raised success from 63.4% to 91.6%, while an opposing objective lowered it to 17.6%.
Why it matters: Safety gates calibrated only on explicit test suites may misestimate deployed behavior, and the objective-framing result shows that evaluation context can change the measured failure rate substantially.